Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 72.855049 81.964471 91.307041 101.573818 112.508694 123.778060 136.240946
2025-02-16 58.174786 71.130603 85.047715 100.981382 118.596432 137.361618 158.751536
2025-02-23 50.042224 65.162332 81.966751 101.766123 124.208747 148.633185 177.004314
2025-03-02 43.337284 59.848610 78.778190 101.650360 128.132310 157.466138 192.062612
2025-03-09 38.371851 55.953618 76.685431 102.293182 132.482543 166.417048 206.938910
2025-03-16 33.322359 51.426776 73.396981 101.131751 134.402102 172.320647 218.123466
2025-03-23 30.308370 49.143782 72.568292 102.676906 139.306434 181.514565 232.959634
2025-03-30 27.832845 47.313435 72.104596 104.499628 144.410821 190.848527 247.894576
2025-04-06 24.607365 44.186776 69.765025 103.804388 146.319268 196.301905 258.213763
2025-04-13 21.117484 40.375227 66.282105 101.449440 146.016847 198.983838 265.156629
2025-04-20 20.162868 40.099714 67.409385 104.925285 152.878926 210.231426 282.237836
2025-04-27 18.846662 39.170190 67.568850 107.085212 158.059200 219.430826 296.881984
2025-05-04 16.507849 36.516597 65.257740 105.952086 159.087299 223.622863 305.616591
2025-05-11 14.428348 34.068764 63.087759 104.890785 160.123327 227.772284 314.273516
2025-05-18 13.116324 32.736178 62.411811 105.761674 163.579450 234.863978 326.469618
2025-05-25 11.662214 31.014549 61.063533 105.633043 165.681790 240.238623 336.554888
2025-06-01 10.545611 29.764517 60.332122 106.292467 168.768383 246.814354 348.097448
2025-06-08 9.105817 27.759964 58.343351 105.103524 169.354180 250.206260 355.698851
2025-06-15 8.407512 27.078039 58.340776 106.684986 173.591141 258.193007 368.970232
2025-06-22 7.823905 26.557927 58.553679 108.550214 178.196446 266.648193 382.835595
2025-06-29 6.793306 24.997824 57.024428 107.838795 179.294737 270.613310 391.110818
2025-07-06 5.577316 22.845653 54.402113 105.428718 178.013277 271.475740 395.472551
2025-07-13 5.453749 23.128790 55.817960 108.985757 184.881207 282.829308 412.988788